What is quantitative investing?

Quantitative investing: where science meets capital markets.

Investing with models and data—not gut instinct.

How does Alphawave practise quantitative investing?

Since 2016, Alphawave has operated with its own infrastructure, proprietary models and a methodology built around a clear statistical edge: mean reversion.

01

Fully proprietary infrastructure

Since its founding in 2016, Alphawave has built the complete infrastructure needed to develop and optimise trading strategies, test their robustness, subject them to stress tests and trade them fully automatically.
02

Price distortions & inefficiencies

Alphawave primarily trades short-term deviations from the norm: points that break out of the pattern. These anomalies are systematically identified and captured.
03

Statistical edge: mean reversion

The methodology is called mean reversion: after each deviation, the price statistically tends to return to its mean. Alphawave exploits precisely this recurring statistical edge.
04

Internationally recognised best practice

Major quant firms have worked this way for decades and generate consistent returns. Today, the approach is regarded as best practice.

The financial market’s ‘bottle collectors’.

Graph

White points: normal behaviour. Yellow points: anomalies captured by Alphawave.

Why is this trading approach so robust?

Those who invest based on data do not invest on gut instinct and do not have to blindly ‘follow’ the market. This reduces the risk of simply being exposed to general market risk. Instead of betting on direction, the strategy exploits a statistical edge across thousands of trades.

The approach is reliable in normal market conditions—and especially effective when volatility rises and other market participants become cautious. It is precisely where traditional long-only strategies suffer that Alphawave finds the clearest statistical advantages.

In the first years after entering the market—following eight years of research and development—Alphawave generated 19.54% p.a. in 2024 and 2025, audited by an independent auditor. Performance in 2026 is so far developing in a comparable direction.

28,0 %
Model backtest¹
Period 2008–2025
Live
19,54 %
Live trading
Period 2024–2025 (audited)

We provide liquidity—and help stabilise the markets.

RoMaD: higher returns with significantly better risk control.

Returns without risk context are misleading. RoMaD (Return on Maximum Drawdown) relates the average annual return to the maximum historical loss, making the efficiency of an approach measurable.

Equities

8,2 %
Average return p.a.
−54 %
Maximum drawdown
0,15
RoMaD
Historical key figures for the German equity market (DAX Index)
more efficient in terms of the
risk-return ratio

Mathematically, the Alphawave strategy is around eight times more efficient in its use of risk and return than Germany’s benchmark equity index. It achieves a significantly higher average return with a substantially lower maximum drawdown.

Annual performance vs. maximum drawdown – Alphawave 2008–2025

The upper chart shows annual performance—plenty of green and little red. The lower chart shows the maximum drawdowns within each year. Positive performance combined with clear risk limitation—even in crisis years such as 2008, 2020 and 2022.
Jahresperformance (Model NC 6.1), in gelb: Live Jahresperformance (geprüft)
+27.9
+0.1
+21.4
+62.3
+10.5
-1.9
+41.6
+33.1
+32.1
+11.4
+52.5
+14.4
+16.6
+56.2
+70.5
+27.3
+32.6
+20.5
Maximum drawdown, i.e. the largest decline within a year
-14.2
-10.8
-6.1
-9.9
-8.1
-10.9
-10.4
-16.5
-16.4
-11.0
-11.9
-11.9
-12.5
-8.8
-11.0
-14.2
-12.6
-12.1

Better overall, even outside crisis periods

28,0 %
Alphawave model¹ p.a.
Backtest 2008–2025
8,20 %
Equities p.a.
Comparison basis (DAX Index)
Across different market environments, the Alphawave model achieves higher average returns with clearly controlled risk—as reflected in significantly lower and stable maximum annual losses over the years, based on a robust, largely market-neutral approach.

Alphawave: robust when markets come under pressure.

In the weakest equity-market months since 2008, the market’s average return was only −8.9%. The Alphawave model outperformed the equity market in every one of those months—often by a wide margin, with alpha of up to +34%. The strategy is at its most effective precisely during periods of elevated volatility and market dislocation.

Backtest using the current NC6.1 model. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

25 worst months since 2008
8.9 %
Ø Rendite DAX-Index in den 25 schlechtesten DAX-Monaten seit 2008
Alphawave during these months
+ 3.6 %
Average return of Alphawave NC6.1¹ in the 25 worst DAX months since 2008
Best Alphawave monthly result
+ 34.1 %
Alpha = excess return versus the equity market in the 25 worst DAX months since 2008

High robustness across multiple cycles

How likely is a positive return?

Based on the model results for 2008–2025 (backtest, NC6.1 model), the probability that an investment is in positive territory after a given holding period is very high—and rises significantly with the investment horizon.

68.5 %
after 3 months
79.8 %
after 6 months
93.6 %
after 12 months
98.2 %
nach 24 Monaten

We trade on our own account—and take responsibility.

Sounds too good to be true? Here is why it is possible.

Figures such as a 28.0% average return p.a. with a maximum loss of only −23.8% over the entire 2008–2025 period may initially seem unrealistic compared with traditional equity funds. Even more remarkable: the average annual loss is only 11.64%—well below the equity market’s 20.83% (e.g. the DAX), which at the same time delivers a significantly lower average return p.a. The key point is that Alphawave operates in a different discipline—not on the basis of opinions or market forecasts, but through the high-frequency, systematic exploitation of real price inefficiencies.

Comparable approaches have existed for decades at firms such as Renaissance Technologies, Two Sigma and Citadel. They were simply reserved for institutional investors. What is new is not the method, but access to it.

In the United States, quantitative strategies have been established for decades and manage trillions in capital. In Europe, however, this approach is still scarcely taken seriously, even though its scientific foundation and results have long been demonstrated.

Independent, audited source of returns

We do not bet on rising prices. We trade short-term, statistically measurable price inefficiencies, regardless of whether the market rises, falls or moves sideways.

Technological edge

Fast backtesting systems and extensive robustness analyses validate every strategy before live trading—wherever inefficiencies arise and disappear again.

Risiko zuerst, Rendite danach

Every trade has fixed loss limits, and every position has a strict risk budget. The low maximum downside risk is not a coincidence, but the actual design objective. Returns are the consequence.

More than €7 million in research and development costs

The models were developed over many years, calibrated on more than 30,000 backtested trades and have been traded live since May 2024. Their scientific foundation was independently confirmed by a Scientific Opinion from Heriot-Watt University.

Robust data, consistent execution

Every decision follows defined rules, without the influence of emotions, opinions or day-to-day form. What works in the backtest is implemented in exactly the same way in live trading.

Performance instead of excessively large assets under management

The approach cannot scale indefinitely. Inefficiencies have a natural capacity. That is precisely why the strategy is robust: it remains effective by being disciplined enough to stay sufficiently small.

International kein Einzelfall, in Europa noch selten

Renaissance Technologies, Two Sigma, Citadel and D. E. Shaw demonstrate that quantitative investing has been an international standard for decades—what is new is access for European private investors.

We do not follow the market—we exploit its structure

Traditional investments follow the market’s direction. Alphawave focuses on structural price inefficiencies rather than directional forecasts—regardless of whether markets are rising, falling or moving sideways.

Doctoral research in the field

The scientific foundation extends to doctoral level, with independent research into quantitative market models, statistical arbitrage and the systematic exploitation of price inefficiencies.

More than 8 years of R&D

More than eight years of meticulous research and development went into modelling, backtesting and continuously optimising the strategies—driven by data, not opinions.

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